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Submission + - Economists predictions no better than flipping a coin (abc.net.au)

ras writes: "The Reserve Bank of Australia did some investigation into the accuracy of their economic predictions — the ones they use to run the country:

70 per cent of the RBA's forecasts for underlying inflation for the year ahead were close to the mark, but its predictions of economic growth were less accurate, and its unemployment rate estimates no better than [chance] ... The Reserve Bank employs numbers of people on very high pay and what they're admitting now is that their — all of this so-called science — has produced nothing more than what a roll of the dice could produce."


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Economists predictions no better than flipping a coin

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Adding features does not necessarily increase functionality -- it just makes the manuals thicker.